Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
VER
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VER
0 - 3
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
PAC
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ATS
0 - 1
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 0
VER
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
QRO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
TOL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |