Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
UAT
2 - 1
VER
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
VER
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
QRO
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
UAT
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
ATL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
UDG
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |