Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
VER
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
ALE
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
PUE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
4 - 0
VER
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
LOB
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PUM
0 - 2
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |