Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
VER
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
VER
2 - 1
ATS
38%
25%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
JAG
4 - 3
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VER
2 - 1
PUE
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
VER
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MON
1 - 3
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 2
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |