Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 2
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VER
6 - 2
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 3
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
CHI
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
PAC
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |