Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TIG
4 - 1
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
VER
3 - 0
QRO
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
VER
3 - 1
PAC
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 0
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |