Veracruz vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UAT
0 - 2
VER
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VER
1 - 0
REB
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LEO
3 - 0
VER
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
LOB
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
UDG
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 0
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 3
NEC
16%
26%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 0
ORI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |