Veracruz vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
REB
1 - 1
VER
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
VER
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
LOB
0 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
DOR
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
DUR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 0
LEO
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 1
DUR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UDG
0 - 0
DUR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |