Vera vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 0
VER
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VER
1 - 2
UDL
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UPR
4 - 0
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
LAN
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VSB
1 - 0
VER
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDB
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 1
UDL
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UPR
2 - 1
UDI
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
LAN
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |