Vera Cruz vs Jaguar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+599%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
VCR
1 - 0
AEB
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FEC
1 - 2
VCR
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
VCR
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
VCR
0 - 1
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VCR
1 - 3
TFC
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 2
FEC
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
AEB
0 - 1
ADJ
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
ADJ
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ADJ
1 - 0
TFC
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
1 - 0
ADJ
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |