Vera Cruz vs 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
2 - 2
ISC
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
0 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
VCR
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
9 - 0
MAI
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 2
SED
22%
21%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
9 - 0
MAI
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 2
PER
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
5 - 0
MAI
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 1
PET
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |