Ventspils vs FC Jurmala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FKJ
1 - 2
VEN
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 2
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JFK
1 - 6
VEN
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
4 - 1
FKD
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 3
VEN
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jurmala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 2
FCJ
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 1
FCS
21%
24%
56%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCD
3 - 0
FCJ
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 4
LIE
21%
24%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FKJ
0 - 2
FCJ
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |