Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-3
Ventspils vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
VEN
4 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
LUF
3 - 3
VEN
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
VEN
3 - 1
FSM
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
VEN
5 - 0
LUF
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 2
VEN
3%
8%
89%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 2
GIR
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 0
GAZ
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 1
ALG
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MET
0 - 4
GIR
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GIR
4 - 2
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |