Ventspils 2 vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
VEN
16%
20%
64%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 2
VEN
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 0
FKT
79%
14%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
VEN
4 - 0
FCS
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
ILU
3 - 1
VEN
13%
18%
68%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 1
LME
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
FKJ
0 - 2
BFC
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 2
RIG
30%
23%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
REZ
0 - 2
BFC
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BFC
2 - 1
AUD
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |