Venezuela U23 vs Brasil U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
67.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 2
VEN
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
BRA
10%
19%
72%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
VEN
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 1
VEN
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 3
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
BRA
10%
19%
72%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ECU
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |