Venezuela U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 0
BOL
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
USA
3 - 1
VEN
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 0
VEN
26%
22%
53%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
VEN
5%
11%
83%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
MTN
1 - 2
VEN
8%
14%
78%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ECU
1 - 3
PER
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SEN
0 - 0
ECU
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |