Venezia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
VNZ
3 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
VNZ
0 - 0
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 2
VNZ
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
VNZ
3 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
EMP
2 - 1
LEC
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
REG
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEC
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 3
CTT
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 2
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |