Velo Clube vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAO
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 2
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
XVD
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 2
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAP
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 5
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |