Vellmar vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 0
VEL
71%
19%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 2
VIK
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
FVB
1 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
WOR
2 - 0
VEL
54%
25%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SVB
1 - 2
ESC
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SVB
3 - 2
SWM
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
5 - 3
SVB
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SVB
0 - 3
VIK
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 5
SVB
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |