Vellmar vs Rot-Weiß Darmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
FER
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 0
EIN
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EIW
0 - 5
VEL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 1
KIC
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VEL
3 - 4
BUC
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
URB
2 - 0
ROT
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 0
ROT
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
ESC
3 - 0
ROT
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
ROT
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 2
HUN
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |