Velilla vs Becerril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAJ
1 - 0
VEL
41%
26%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
AVI
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 1
VEL
74%
16%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
5 - 2
VEL
59%
21%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 0
VEL
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEC
1 - 1
UXA
48%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BEC
2 - 2
SAJ
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 3
BEC
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEC
0 - 1
CUE
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SEG
1 - 1
BEC
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |