Vélez Sarsfield II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GOC
0 - 1
VEL
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
LAN
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
VEL
10%
19%
72%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
TIG
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 0
RAC
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
PLA
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
TAL
4 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
BOC
27%
25%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
IND
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |