Vélez Sarsfield II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
ALD
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOB
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
VEL
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
GOC
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
RIV
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |