Vélez Sarsfield II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAN
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 1
VEL
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RAC
4 - 0
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
OLI
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
VEL
32%
25%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATR
0 - 3
RIV
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 1
RIV
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 1
RIV
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |