Vélez Sarsfield II vs Quilmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
38%
24%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 2
RAC
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
VEL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 2
GLP
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 3
VEL
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 2
EST
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATR
3 - 1
QUI
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
BEL
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
2 - 1
QUI
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
BOC
15%
21%
65%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |