Vélez Sarsfield II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 3
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 0
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
OLI
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 4
PAT
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATR
24%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
PAT
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
RIV
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |