Vélez Sarsfield II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SLO
3 - 2
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 1
LAN
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
BEL
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 1
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |