Vélez Sarsfield II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 3
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
VEL
8%
20%
72%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
ARG
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 3
VEL
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
ACC
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 2
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
SLO
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
TAL
36%
26%
39%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 2
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |