Vélez Sarsfield II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BRC
2 - 2
VEL
14%
17%
69%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 1
HUR
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
0 - 1
VEL
13%
20%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
SAR
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GOC
0 - 1
VEL
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 3
IND
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
IND
3 - 0
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CCS
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
NOB
1 - 0
IND
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |