Vélez Sarsfield II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
ROC
1 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 2
ALD
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
PLA
3 - 1
VEL
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 3
VEL
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
ARS
50%
27%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
EST
3 - 3
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
TAL
3 - 3
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
IND
36%
26%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |