Vélez Sarsfield II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 4
VEL
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
ALD
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 3
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAU
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 2
VEL
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
GOC
37%
26%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 0
IND
33%
26%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
LAN
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 0
IND
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |