Vélez Sarsfield II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
TAL
2 - 2
VEL
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 0
NOB
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
IND
4 - 2
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 2
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
GLP
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 3
IND
35%
26%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
IND
4 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |