Vélez Sarsfield II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 1
GOC
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 3
VEL
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
QUI
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 2
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
IND
4 - 1
OLI
81%
12%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
IND
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IND
5 - 1
PAT
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 4
IND
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |