Vélez Sarsfield II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 3
VEL
15%
21%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 3
VEL
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
TAL
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 2
VEL
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
5 - 2
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DYJ
4 - 1
PLA
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 0
DYJ
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 1
BOC
26%
25%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
DYJ
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
DYJ
0 - 2
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |