Vélez Sarsfield II vs Atlético Rafaela II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
VEL
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 0
DYJ
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
SMS
5 - 3
VEL
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
TAL
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
VEL
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ATR
0 - 2
DYJ
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
SMS
2 - 2
ATR
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ATR
0 - 1
TAL
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 2
ATR
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATR
3 - 0
COL
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |