Vélez Sarsfield II vs Atlético Rafaela II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 2
VEL
40%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ATR
0 - 0
GLP
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
0 - 1
NOB
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
ATR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 1
LAN
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |