Velez Rubio vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velez Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VLZ
4 - 2
PTO
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CHU
3 - 2
VLZ
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VLZ
2 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
VLZ
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VLZ
3 - 1
CDR
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHU
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 3
PEN
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
4 - 3
CAR
28%
24%
49%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CDR
5 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
5 - 3
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |