Velez Rubio vs Gilena C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velez Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VLZ
0 - 0
PEN
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PTO
3 - 1
VLZ
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BAD
3 - 1
VLZ
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VLZ
2 - 3
AGU
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VLZ
3 - 1
CDL
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gilena C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
5 - 0
GIL
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 3
BAD
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 0
GIL
72%
17%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 1
ALG
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 0
GIL
45%
23%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |