Vélez C vs UD Alameda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
63.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 2
ZNO
46%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
ARC
24%
20%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TOT
3 - 0
VEL
49%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 2
DPA
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alameda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 2
TOT
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DPA
2 - 0
ALA
57%
19%
24%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
RML
4 - 4
ALA
47%
21%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MRF
4 - 2
ALA
20%
18%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
ALA
41%
21%
38%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |