Velež Mostar vs Sloga Meridian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
7º
44
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ZEL
2 - 1
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 2
SAR
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BBL
1 - 0
VEL
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 1
ZRI
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GOS
0 - 1
VEL
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SLO
0 - 1
SIR
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SLO
4 - 1
SLO
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SLO
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SLO
0 - 4
SAR
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BBL
3 - 1
SLO
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |