Velež Mostar vs Sloga Meridian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
7º
44
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
IGM
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 3
VEL
17%
26%
57%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 2
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
ZEL
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
SIR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SLO
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |