Velež Mostar vs Sloga Meridian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
9º
3º
42
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 4
VEL
20%
29%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
ZEL
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
VEL
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
SIR
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
GOS
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
ZEL
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
SLO
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POS
4 - 0
SLO
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BBL
5 - 0
SLO
75%
18%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SLO
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |