Velež Mostar vs Sloga Meridian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
6º
37
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 4
SIR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
LEO
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZEL
2 - 0
VEL
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
TOS
0 - 2
VEL
9%
19%
71%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
71%
20%
9%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 2
IGM
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SIR
3 - 0
SLO
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
POS
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SLO
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
JED
1 - 2
SLO
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |