Velbert vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
VEL
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 2
GEW
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 2
VEL
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
HUL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
WEG
1 - 3
VFB
39%
25%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 1
WHE
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
4 - 1
WEG
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |