Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NET
1 - 1
VEL
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 1
VEL
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 3
VEL
38%
21%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 2
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DUS
1 - 0
VEL
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 2
KLE
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FSV
0 - 7
VFB
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
VFB
1 - 0
S04
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 4
VFB
22%
21%
58%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 2
SWE
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |