Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 3
VEL
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
WER
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 3
VFB
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
MSV
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 2
VFB
67%
21%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 1
ROT
13%
22%
65%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
BER
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |