Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DUS
0 - 2
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 1
AAA
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
WUP
1 - 1
VEL
28%
27%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 3
BAY
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 1
VEL
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 3
KLE
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
DIE
1 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 0
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |