Velbert vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 1
VEL
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
NET
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
VEL
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 0
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SFB
4 - 3
KLE
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FSV
3 - 6
SFB
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SFB
4 - 2
DUS
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 3
SFB
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SFB
0 - 0
SWE
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |