Velbert vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JDH
1 - 1
VEL
38%
23%
40%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
5 - 0
KAP
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
NIE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SON
0 - 5
VEL
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
BOS
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SFB
4 - 0
SON
74%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOS
5 - 2
SFB
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SFB
1 - 0
FCB
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HIL
2 - 1
SFB
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SFB
0 - 4
GRA
46%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |