Velbert vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SFB
2 - 2
VEL
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 2
VFB
14%
18%
69%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NET
1 - 1
VEL
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 1
VEL
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 3
VEL
38%
21%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SWE
2 - 0
KLE
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FSV
2 - 1
SWE
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SWE
2 - 1
DUS
45%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
SWE
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SWE
3 - 0
FCB
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |